Hope for a quick recovery, but don’t expect it

A V-shaped economic recovery is unlikely. Even if the coronavirus were to disappear, high indebtedness, unemployment, Sino-American tensions and falling global trade suggest a gradual and uneven recovery is more likely.

Coronavirus and the Chernobyl disaster: how governance has improved

The difference in response to the coronavirus outbreak and the Chernobyl disaster in 1986 shows how much governance has improved in Croatia

South East Europe’s economies: greater uncertainty in 2020

Another year of growth while debt is rising means the global economy is exposed to increasing risk in 2020. South East Europe is better placed for a downturn than in 2008, but that readiness is not uniformly distributed

Regional differences to become evident as uncertainty in the global economy rises

How will the growing uncertainty surrounding global economic prospects impact on South East Europe? IMELUM's current Macroeconomic Quarterly provides an in depth look at the risks and opportunities facing the region.